Democrats Beginning to Rationalize: Losing Senate Wont be as Bad as Some Fear?

White House officials wonder privately ... a Republican Congress would be better? charlieBy Charlie Cook While I have never seen anyone literally thrown under a bus I would imagine it is quite a grisly sight. This weeks crunching sound you heard was the bones of Senate Democrats under a bus as The Washington Posts obama-reidinimitable Dana Milbanks July 4th column suggested that perhaps the Obama presidency might benefit from Democrats losing their Senate majority.    In politics we occasionally see someone throw an individual or a group on their own team under one. That is not a pretty sight either. Early this year we saw Senate Democrats throw their House brethren under the proverbial bus with a Jan. 29 story in Politico headlined Democrats: Cede the House to Save the Senate." It noted that Democrats hold on their majority in the upper chamber was tenuous while over on the House side the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee was raising money hand over fist despite DCCChaving little chance of reclaiming the majority House Democrats lost in 2010. It didnt take a rocket scientist to figure out that Senate Democrats were trying to redirect fundraising from what they saw as a lost cause on one side of the Capitol to what they saw as a much more important one on their side. On one level it was pretty obvious that the odds were exceedingly long for House Democrats and more like 50-50 give or take 10 points on the Senate side. But  these kinds of stories are usually played out in the weeks or final months before an election not in the first month of the election year. To me it was both understandable and unseemly and certainly not very subtle. I could only wonder just how angry House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi was with the story particularly given that I had heard her deliver a very spirited defense of NancyDemocrats House chances just a few weeks earlier. But as the old saying goes Politics aint beanbag."

We saw it again this past week with The Washington Posts inimitable Dana Milbank writing a column July 4 suggesting that perhaps the Obama presidency might benefit from Democrats losing their Senate majority.

The crunching sound you heard was the bones of Senate Democrats under a bus a pretty fair indication that someone in or close to the White House was beginning to rationalize why such an outcome might not be as bad a thing as some might think all logic to the contrary.

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Milbank argues
The prevailing view is that a Republican Senate would only compound President Obamas woes by bottling up confirmations doubling the number of investigations and chipping away at Obamacare and other legislative achievements."
Now here comes the bus. Milbank continues
harry_reid_2Yet theres a chance that having an all-Republican Congress would help Obama and even some White House officials have wondered privately whether a unified Republican Congress would be better than the current environment. Republicans without Harry Reid to blame would own Congress a body that inspires a high level of confidence in just 7 of Americans according to a Gallup survey last month finding Congress at a new low and at the bottom of all institutions tested." Crunch.
All of this reminds me of a lunch conversation with a senior White House adviser just a few weeks before the Democrats disastrous 2010 midterms when they lost their House majority and saw their Senate edge cut by more than half losing six seats. The adviser appeared genuinely disinterested in the midterm election seeming to only want to talk about which Republicans might actually jump into the 2012 contest. To be sure Obama is running around the country doing fundraisers for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee as he does for other party dsccentities. But a lot of the goodwill built up by doing seven-digit fundraising events is undone by those in and close to the White House whose loyalty seems to be only to The Man and not the best interests of the party. Sure if Republicans own" Congress then the Obama White House will have a better angle of attack but and you can call me old-fashioned it is never a good thing to lose a Senate or House majority. That is not to say that Republicans shouldnt worry about the possibility that if they hold the House (highly likely) and win a majority in the Senate that some of the more exotic GOP members would be emboldened to do things that could be disastrous for their party. That should be a legitimate concern. But for Obama while yes he would be recorded as the first African-American president he would also be remembered for having lost a House majority in his first-term midterm election and the Senate in his second term a fairly inauspicious charlierecord with the Affordable Care Act credited as having assisted in the play. Charlie Cook is a political analyst for National Journal NBC News and is Editor & Publisher of The Cook Political Report. He appears regularly on the ABC CBS and NBC news programs as well as on Good Morning America.
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