By
Robert Bryce
The two big energy stories of the moment are the Obama administrations final decision on the Keystone XL pipeline and the continued pummeling of the Department of Energy and Energy Secretary Steven Chu for their handling of the $529 million loan guarantee to Solyndra. So how do those two projects compare on critical issues such as economic impact and overall energy use?
Even a cursory look at the two deals shows that once again the Obama administrations energy priorities are how to put this charitably? misguided.
The Keystone XL is a $13 billion project that doesnt depend on federal loan guarantees or production
tax credits from the federal government. And it could improve Americas ability to have a reliable secure flow of oil a vital substance that has dominated Americas
energy supply for more than six decades. In 1949 according to Energy Information Administration data oils share of the U.S. energy mix
was 37 percent. In 2009 oils share of the energy mix was . . . 37 percent. (For reference: In 2009 coals share of the energy mix was about 21 percent natural gas about 25 percent and nuclear about 9 percent. Production from all geothermal wind and solar amounted to 1.25 percent.)
The now-bankrupt Solyndra was supposed to produce solar panels for sale domestically and abroad. But solar energys share of the U.S. energy market is infinitesimal. Last year American consumers
got about 600 times as much electricity from nuclear plants as they did from solar.
Keystone could create about
13000 construction jobs in the U.S. according to TransCanada the company that is pushing the
deal. The company also projects that the pipeline could indirectly create another 7000 manufacturing jobs in the U.S. When Solyndra went bankrupt in August
1100 people lost their jobs.
But the real contrast between the Keystone XL pipeline and Solyndra can be found by comparing the amount of energy that could come through that pipeline with the amount of energy produced by solar and wind in the U.S.
When completed or rather
if completed the pipeline is to have a capacity of
about 700000 barrels of oil per day. At 1.64 megawatt-hours per barrel thats enough energy to create more than 1.1 million megawatt-hours of electricity but we need to haircut that figure by two-thirds to account for the energy we would lose if we converted that fuel into electricity. That leaves us with about 380000 megawatt-hours of electricity per day.
In comparison in all of last year American solar-energy production was 1.3 million megawatt-hours and wind production was
94.6 million megawatt-hours. Add those together and divide by 365 and you find that solar and wind sources are now providing the U.S. with a little over 260000 megawatt-hours of electricity per day.
Put another way the Keystone XL pipeline by itself if it ever gets federal approval and assuming of course that the Canadians dont decide to build a pipeline to the coast and ship their oil to China or elsewhere would have provided about 46 percent more energy to the U.S. economy than all the solar panels and wind turbines in the country did in 2010.
Read that again. One pipeline one pipeline! would have delivered 46 percent more energy than all the solar panels and wind turbines did last year. To put that in perspective consider that the U.S. now has about
43000 megawatts of wind generation capacity. If we assume the average wind turbine capacity is 2 megawatts thats about 21500 wind turbines. Furthermore roughly five megawatts worth of wind turbines
can be installed per square mile. Thus the U.S. has now covered about 8600 square miles (a land area approximately the size of New Jersey) with wind turbines. And that energy sprawl has spawned a backlash among rural residents from
Maine to
Oregon.
But rather than look at the hard realities the Obama administration and their supporters claim that the future belongs to renewables and to companies like Solyndra. Whenever you hear that claim recall the numbers above: In 2009 production from all geothermal wind and solar sources amounted to 1.25 percent of American energy while oil provided 37 percent the exact same percentage as it did way back in 1949.
In August 2008 Barack Obama said that
we must end the age of oil in our time." Heres the reality: The age of oil isnt over. Not by a long shot.
And by delaying the Keystone XL Obama has shown that hes more interested in political maneuvering than in providing cheap abundant reliable energy to U.S. consumers.
Robert Bryce is a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute. His fourth book Power Hungry: The Myths of Green" Energy and the Real Fuels of the Future was recently issued in paperback.