85 have heard something or a lot about her private email issue
Texas Insider Report: WASHINGTON D.C. From
Bernie Sanders primary victories to the State Department
inspector generals report on her email server the month of May hasnt been kind to Hillary Clinton or her poll numbers.
Her lead over Donald Trump has shrunk to the low single digits says Politicos Steven Shepard.
State polls tell a similar story.
Clinton and Trump have run neck and neck in two separate polls in each of four key electoral battlegrounds. Clintons favorable ratings currently 41 favorable and 55 unfavorable according to HuffPost Pollster are virtually unchanged over the past month.
But that was before the release of the inspector generals report which said Clinton didnt comply with department policies when she used a private email account for government business and didnt immediately turn over records of her correspondence.
Clintons ratings on trustworthiness were already woeful: A Fox News poll two weeks ago found just 31 of voters think Clinton is honest and trustworthy while nearly two-thirds said they dont think she is. And overall her numbers are significantly worse than Trumps scores on the same question.
Politico
Voters See Her Private Email Use as a Problem
About half of voters think former Secretary of State Hillary Clintons use of a private email server was illegal unethical and is a major problem as the Democrat seeks the presidency. According to a new Morning Consult national survey of 2001 voters nearly all of them (85) have heard something or a lot about her private email usage a key issue being raised against her by Republicans as they try to cast her as untrustworthy says Morning Consults Eli Yokley.
Half of voters said Clintons use of a private email server was illegal while more than a quarter of voters (27) werent sure if it was legal or not. Just less than a quarter (22) said they believed it was legal. Only 20 of voters believed her practice was ethical.
Among all voters 48 view the emails as a major problem while 24 see it as a minor problem. Just 18 of voters said it was no problem at all. But even among Democrats a quarter of them think it is a major problem for Clinton compared with 50 of self-identified independents and 78 of Republicans.
Morning Consult
Some Analysts are Re-Evaluating Trumps Chances
My operating assumption has long been that Trump would run about as poorly as John McCain and Mitt Romney among African-Americans and also would run significantly worse among Hispanics. This would require Trump to secure about 64 of the white vote
in order to win a tough haul says Real clear Politics Sean Trende.
But Trumps numbers among nonwhites have actually been relatively decent. If we assume that undecided voters are ultimately representative of decided voters (within groups) Fox News has him winning 7 of African-Americans and 27 of Hispanics roughly Romneys showing in 2012. The common rejoinder is that these polls represent the state of the race with Trump having wrapped up the Republican nomination while Clinton is stuck in a nasty race with Bernie Sanders. Once she nails down the nomination the race should shift back to her....But... the ABC News poll finds that Trump is in fact pulling in 11 of Democrats to Clintons 8 of Republicans but that only 3 of Democrats are undecided while 7 of Republicans havent made up their minds.
The Fox News poll has similar findings with Clinton and Trump both taking an equal number of voters from the other party and showing a similar number of undecided partisans.
RCP
But Its Still Early
Clintons decline in the polls is a warning sign that this could be a close race. However more than five months remain until the election in November. A lot can and will happen in that time including Clinton officially securing the Democratic nomination.
The national trends are good indicators of the national mood right now but closer to the election the focus will shift to the handful of battleground states that will determine the outcome of the election.
