By Merrill Matthews
Texas Insider Report: AUSTIN Texas
The media keep asserting theres an anti-incumbent mood among the electorate. I think its an anti-liberal mood. Nov. 2nd Election Day will be one for the history books. Not only is it likely Republicans will take over both the House & Senate its probable.
And a whole bunch of state houses and governors mansions as well.
For months the political prognosticators have been slowly ramping up their predictions in favor of Republicans. Democratic leaders long pooh-poohed any suggestion they could lose the House but even they now feel the winds of discontent.
The conventional wisdom is that the public doesnt pay any attention to an election until after Labor Day. Well were here and its clear Americans have been paying a lot of attention to this election ... for months.
As one of my colleagues said to me I cant wait to vote!
Whether in Early Voting or on Nov. 2nd voters will go to the polls and kick out Democrats in record numbers. Not because Republicans have done such a good job of proposing an alternative vision for solving our problems but because Democrats have done such a bad job.
Democrats ran on fiscal responsibility transparency a postpartisan Washington cleaning up the swamp and fixing our troubled economy.

Theyve broken shattered actually every one of those promises.
This election will be much worse for Democrats than 1994 when I was a political analyst for one of the radio networks. It was only two or three weeks from the election that we began to sense that Democrats might lose the House and no one was predicting a Senate turnover.
This time everyone sees the trend.
The Cook Political Report one of the most respected election-watchers writes:
Today we are monitoring 120 House races the largest playing field weve seen in years. ... And its a lopsided playing field: 102 of these 120 races are held by Democrats.
Rasmussen Reports says voters now trust Republicans more than Democrats on all 10 of the key issues it regularly tracks including:
- Taxes
- Health Care
- Immigration
- National Security
- Social Security and eve
- Education
And Gallup says Obamas disapproval rating has topped 50 while his approval rating dropped below 40 among male respondents. A separate Gallup Poll asking voters which party they plan to vote for gives congressional
Republicans their largest lead since Gallup began polling in 1942.
And
Public Policy Polling found that in the benchmark state of Ohio voters say they would rather have George W. Bush in the White House than Barack Obama by a 50-42 margin. So apparently one of the most unpopular presidents in recent times is significantly more popular than the sitting president.

But what about the Senate?
RealClearPolitics puts nine Democratically controlled seats in the toss up leans or likely GOP categories. Republicans need 10 seats.
Normally races tighten as we get closer to an election. Certainly some have or will but wave elections tend to flip the usual patterns.
Of course the meaning of liberal can vary depending on where you live.
Utah Sen. Robert Bennett would be considered a conservative in most states but not conservative enough for Utah. So Republicans with Tea Party help booted him out during the primary.
Alaska Sen. Lisa Murkowski is a pork-barrel-loving moderate so conservative Republicans again with Tea Partiers showed her the door.
Arizona Sen. John McCain by contrast veered radically to the right--shamelessly abandoning his long-held fondness for being a maverick--and won his primary.
The large majority of Republicans and independents and I predict not a small number of Democrats are demanding that candidates embrace limited government fiscal responsibility transparency and a commitment to the Constitution. Red- and purple-state incumbents who voted that way are mostly safe; those who didnt and that will include the vast majority of Democrats from those states are in trouble.
Frankly voters are tired of being lied to. They are tired of the elitist mindset that has settled into Washington one that says believe what I tell you not what you see.
They are furious that Obama and the Democrats forced through their stimulus package multiple bailouts and ObamaCare with virtually no Republican support and against the publics wishes.
The public turned out in record numbers during August Recess last year to express its dissatisfaction and was completely ignored even dismissed and

ridiculed. They werent as aggressive this August because the Democrats had already cast their votes for the Obama agenda.
Now its the peoples turn to cast their votes and they cant wait!
Merrill Matthews is a resident scholar with the Institute for Policy Innovation in Dallas Texas.