George F. Will - The Washington Post
Democrats not allergic to arithmetic must know the cost of their fiscal cliff" victory. When they flinched from allowing all of George W. Bushs tax rates especially those on middle-class incomes to expire liberalism lost its nerve and began what will be a long slide into ludicrousness.
Those temporary rates were enacted in 2001 when only 28 House Democrats supported them and in 2003 when only seven did. But with the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012" did liberals think about that title? 172 House Democrats voted to make the Bush income-tax rates permanent for all but 0.7 percent of taxpayers individuals earning more than $400000 and couples earning more than $450000.
Liberals could have had a revenue increase of $3.7 trillion over 10 years. Instead they surrendered nearly $3.1 trillion of that. They cannot have repeated bites at this apple. They cannot now increase government revenue as a share of gross domestic product through tax reform because Republicans insist that the Taxpayer Relief Act closed the revenue question. And because tax reform is dead for the foreseeable future so are hopes for a revenue surge produced by vigorous economic growth.
No numerate person thinks that todays entitlement state let alone the steady expansion of it that is liberalisms aspiration can be funded by taxing the income of the 0.7 percent of taxpayers whose rates were just raised. Or the 2 percent whose rates would have been raised had liberals and their president simply allowed the automatic increase of rates for individuals earning more than $200000 and couples earning more than $250000.
Because 82 percent of American earners pay more in payroll taxes than income taxes no politically conceivable or economically feasible middle-class tax rate can fund the entitlement state. And Americas political culture rules out funding it with new consumption or energy taxes. By rescuing almost everyone from the restoration of Clinton-era rates liberals abandoned any pretense of paying for their program of ever- expanding entitlements. Instead they made trillion-dollar deficits their program.
From 1950 to 2000 economic growth averaged 3.6 percent; since then it has averaged less than 2 percent. Liberals think todays correlation between the slow economic growth and rapid governmental growth including under George W. Bush is a coincidence. Conservatives do not. And they note some recent actions done in Decembers bright light of public attention and fiscal anxiety which indicate that this governments indiscipline is incorrigible and shameless. Consider one detail in the Taxpayer Relief Act and an issue pertinent to the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy.
Years ago Congress decided that to save the planet there should be tax credits to bribe Americans to buy electric cars. Sen. Ron Wyden (D-Ore.) believes it only fair that buyers of electric motorcycles some of which are made in Oregon not get left out of the bribery business. Thanks to the Taxpayer Relief Act they wont.
People who choose to live in places vulnerable to flooding believe it would be unfair that the cost of their property insurance fully reflect this risk. So government subsidizes their insurance and hence their decision to live where there is increased risk of property damage that when it happens the government helps pay to rebuild.
Todays government whose railroad Amtrak lost $834 million over the past 10 years just on its food service has neither wit nor will to stop subsidizing electric motorcycles or to reform flood insurance. Hence Republicans should rally round one of several well-refined constitutional amendments requiring balanced budgets. Such an amendment would be popular everywhere but especially in six states important in 22 months.
Republicans need to gain six seats to win Senate control in 2014 when Democrats will be defending 20 seats Republicans only 13. Six Democratic incumbents represent states in which Barack Obama received less than 42 percent of the 2012 vote Montanas Max Baucus (41.7) Alaskas Mark Begich (40.8) Louisianas Mary Landrieu (40.6) South Dakotas Tim Johnson (39.9) Arkansass Mark Pryor (36.9) and West Virginias Jay Rockefeller (35.5).
Sixty-seven Senate votes are needed to send a proposed amendment to the states for ratification. There are 45 Republican senators. There are nowhere near 22 Democrats who would vote for an amendment Republicans could support. Still Republicans whose divisions cause Democratic gloating could use a balanced-budget amendment to divide Democrats who threw the remnants of their fiscal self-respect off the cliff.
