Inflation & Crime are Still far and away the Top Concerns for Voters
WASHINGTON, D.C. (Texas Insider Report) — The 2022 Mid-Term Elections are now less than 80 days away, and Republicans continue to hold a 5% lead in their bid to recapture control of Congress. Republicans have led the "Generic Congressional Ballot" survey all year long, and the GOP lead is now 2% higher than is was last week when they led 46%-43%.
The Republican's lead is due mainly to a 9% advantage among Independent Voters (see further details below,) as the F.B.I.'s raid on former President Donald Trump’s home has damaged the FBI’s standing with Independent and Republican voters.
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When it comes to the #1 issue of inflation, the latest Rasmussen Reports Survey conducted on August 17th-18th finds that:
- 85% of Likely U.S. Voters are at least "somewhat concerned" about inflation, including
- 57% who are "Very Concerned"
- That fiure is almost unchanged since May.
- READ: "Voters More Worried About Inflation Than Abortion Rights"
- This survey of 1,000 Likely U.S. Voters was conducted on August 17th-18th, 2022, and the margin of sampling error is +/- 2% with a 95% level of confidence.
- The survey of 1,000 Likely U.S. Voters was conducted on August 15th-16th, 2022, and the margin of sampling error is +/- 2% with a 95% level of confidence.
If the elections for Congress were held today, 46% of "Likely U.S. Voters" would vote for the Republican candidate, while 41% would vote for the Democrat, said the latest Rasmussen Reports National Survey of 2,500 U.S. Likely Voters conducted August 14th-18th, 2022.
Just 4% would vote for some other candidate, while 8% are not sure.
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Interestingly, Republicans lead by eight points, 45%-37%, among voters with incomes below $30,000 a year, while Democrats have an 11-point advantage, 53% to 42%, among voters with annual incomes above $200,000.
- To see survey question wording, click here. The margin of sampling error is +/-2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Among "Independent Voters" not affiliated with either major party:
- 41% would vote Republican
- 30% would vote Democrat, while
- 9% would vote for some other candidate and
- 20% are undecided
Fifty-one percent (51%) of white voters, 26% of black voters, and 44% of other minority voters would vote Republican if the election were held today. Thirty-eight percent (38%) of white voters, 58% of black voters, and 41% of other minorities would vote Democrat.
- Voters ages 40-64 favor Republicans by a14% margin – 51% to 37%
- Voters 65 and older favor the GOP by a12% margin – 52% to 40%
- Voters under 40 favor Democrats by a 14% margin – 49% to 35%
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Rasmussen Reports will be updating its Generic Congressional Ballot findings every Friday morning at 10:30 a.m. Eastern Time until the mid-term elections in November.
‘Biden’s Gestapo’? Trump Raid Hurts Voter Trust in FBI & U.S. Dept. of Justice
Last week’s raid by the Federal Bureau of Investigation on former President Donald Trump’s home has damaged the FBI’s standing with the all-important Independent voters.
- 44% of Likely U.S. voters say the FBI raid on Trump’s Florida home made them trust the FBI less, compared to
- 29% who say it made them trust the FBI more
- 23% say the Trump raid did not make much difference in their trust of the FBI
Not surprisingly, approval of the FBI, including its raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate, is highest among Democrats:
- 75% of Democrats now have a favorable opinion of the FBI, up from 63% in December.
- Only 30% of Republicans now view the FBI favorably, down from 38% in December;
- about half, 49% of GOP voters, now have a Very Unfavorable impression of the FBI.
- Among voters not affiliated with either major party,
- 50% view the FBI unfavorably, and
- 45% have a favorable impression
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- 42% of Likely U.S. voters now view Garland "unfavorably" – up from 39% in October – including
- 32% who have a "Very Unfavorable" impression of the Biden's Attorney General
- 21% are not sure.
- 36% have a favorable impression of Garland, including
- 22% who have a Very Favorable view of him