Hispanics Rally to Trump boosts his 2020 Re-Election chances
By Steve Cortes
WASHINGTON D.C. (Texas Insider Report) Republicans have been looking for the holy grail" of Hispanic voters a group that should naturally align with their support of entrepreneurial capitalism strong borders and a culture of life principles for decades. Looking state-by-state at the 2020 Presidential Race the recent and growing groundswell of President Trumps Hispanic popularity may already be solidifying the presidents re-election prospects.
A Trump gain to 40 of the Hispanic vote a very realistic goal at this point could effectively seal repeat wins in Florida Georgia North Carolina and Arizona. Winning those states means the Democratic nominee must clean-sweep the 2016 Trump states of Pennsylvania Michigan and Wisconsin.
Moreover even that upper Midwest sweep would not be enough if Trumps ascent with Hispanics puts in play Nevada and Colorado states with large Latino populations that Clinton won by low single digits in 2016.
Paradoxically the man whom the mainstream media most attempted to vilify as anti-Hispanic that would be now-President Trump will at last truly welcome Latinos to their rightful political home.
Get ready for the anti-Trump resistance" to go truly loco because recent polling data indicates Hispanic support for the president is swelling a trend that could seal his 2020 re-election victory.
When I helped lead the Trump Hispanic Advisory Council in 2016 our effort was widely derided by skeptics certain that the narrative of Trump as anti-Latino would doom his candidacy particularly in heavily Hispanic states like Florida. But that November Hispanics saw through the media smears and Trump massively outperformed the skeptics dour expectations.
Yes Trump actually surpassed Mitt Romneys 2012 percentage among Latino voters.
Since then prospects have only improved most importantly for the overall well-being of millions of Americas Hispanic Citizens but also for the political prognosis of President Trump.
So much good news has erupted for the president recently with the conclusion of the Mueller inquiry that stunning new polling data released a few short months ago has largely been missed.
McLaughlin & Associates recently revealed that:
- Hispanic Approval for President Trump in March jumped to 50.
- This matched the January Marist/NPR/PBS survey that shocked cynics with its own 50 approval finding.
Even if those polls are too aggressive Februarys Morning Consult-Politico Poll showed Trumps Hispanic approval vaulting to a still-impressive 45.
What explains this stunning trend? I see three key factors:
The Economy: Hispanics neither desire nor expect a laundry list of deliverables from government but rather seek the conditions to advance and prosper independently.
As the most statistically-entrepreneurial demographic in America Hispanics have thrived amid President Trumps economic boom as regulatory and tax relief unleashes a small business surge. Every American benefits from this new dynamism but Hispanics most of all.
For example the Hispanic jobless rate has now been below 5 for the last 11 months; prior to the Trump presidency it had only been below 5 for one month ever in 2006.
In addition jobs are paying more. Wage growth has finally ramped higher for all Americans but especially for Hispanics who now welcome wage growth far above workers on the whole. The American manufacturing renaissance drives much of this resurgence as on-shoring better trade deals and rising optimism made 2018 the best year for factory jobs since the 1990s.
Immigration: Leftist politicians and their agenda-driven media allies wrongly assume that Hispanics espouse softness on immigration illegality. In reality a 2018 YouGov/Economist Poll detailed that just 20 of Hispanics support the Catch & Release" of families illegally crossing our border.
While Democrat elites like wannabe-Hispanic Robert Francis ORourke pontificate openly about open borders tearing down existing border walls or decriminalizing the act of illegal border crossing the actual on-the-ground consequences flow to people with names like Hernandez Cabrera and Cortes.
Indeed Hispanic Americans often suffer the worst most immediate consequences of porous borders. Too often Hispanic workers must compete against unfair illegal labor.
In addition dangerous illegal aliens largely terrorize Hispanic citizens. The tragic tales of MS-13 savagery for example normally involve Hispanic victims like Carlos Rivas-Majano one of 27 people killed by the gang on Long Island N.Y. in just the past three years.
Hispanic Americans have suffered too many totally preventable losses such as slain Arizona police Sgt. Brandon Mendoza and young Los Angeles mother Sandra Duran both murdered by illegal aliens living in America despite multiple prior arrests in the United States.
Social Issues: As the Democratic Party is sprinting to the left on social issues the largely Catholic & Evangelical Hispanic Community of America finds itself orphaned by the Democratic Party.
Increasingly Democrat lawmakers and leaders particularly the increasingly visible Democrat presidential candidates support abortion right up until the very day of birth... and in some cases even beyond. So Hispanics naturally gravitate to President Trumps surprisingly-strong pro-life record.
A 2018 Pew Poll for instance found that 61 of whites believe abortion should be legal in most or all circumstances but only 44 of Hispanics concur.
And Finally: In a separate survey Pew has discovered that among Democrats Hispanics are almost twice as likely to identify as conservative" as non-Hispanics.
Given these realities the increasingly extremist Democrat Party invites if not practically guarantees its own electoral doom in 2020.
Steve Cortes is a CNN political commentator and frequently a contributor to RealClearPolitics. Follow him on Twitter @CortesSteve.